Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.053392 0.057957 0.062579 0.067602 0.072899 0.078311 0.084252
2025-06-01 0.045726 0.052373 0.059344 0.067174 0.075696 0.084664 0.094786
2025-06-08 0.041627 0.049922 0.058888 0.069236 0.080786 0.093222 0.107562
2025-06-15 0.037959 0.047472 0.058034 0.070517 0.084758 0.100389 0.118736
2025-06-22 0.034694 0.045113 0.056969 0.071286 0.087935 0.106519 0.128664
2025-06-29 0.031599 0.042652 0.055528 0.071390 0.090160 0.111432 0.137121
2025-07-06 0.029993 0.041807 0.055847 0.073433 0.094547 0.118770 0.148342
2025-07-13 0.027300 0.039411 0.054115 0.072864 0.095716 0.122269 0.155047
2025-07-20 0.025293 0.037724 0.053118 0.073063 0.097706 0.126662 0.162754
2025-07-27 0.023895 0.036713 0.052872 0.074109 0.100661 0.132167 0.171766
2025-08-03 0.022916 0.036176 0.053165 0.075781 0.104355 0.138551 0.181846
2025-08-10 0.020352 0.033341 0.050351 0.073382 0.102886 0.138592 0.184226
2025-08-17 0.018700 0.031694 0.049052 0.072915 0.103859 0.141676 0.190402
2025-08-24 0.017193 0.030158 0.047824 0.072475 0.104825 0.144733 0.196556
2025-08-31 0.016731 0.030101 0.048583 0.074654 0.109157 0.152006 0.207955
2025-09-07 0.016025 0.029633 0.048741 0.076006 0.112415 0.157947 0.217740
2025-09-14 0.015196 0.028927 0.048523 0.076818 0.114949 0.162976 0.226410
2025-09-21 0.014213 0.027917 0.047822 0.076927 0.116530 0.166780 0.233552
2025-09-28 0.013908 0.027951 0.048606 0.079079 0.120827 0.174077 0.245132
2025-10-05 0.012837 0.026690 0.047449 0.078480 0.121413 0.176586 0.250651
2025-10-12 0.012065 0.025866 0.046893 0.078690 0.123063 0.180457 0.257904
2025-10-19 0.011581 0.025488 0.046978 0.079791 0.125911 0.185887 0.267163
2025-10-26 0.011293 0.025423 0.047525 0.081551 0.129667 0.192521 0.278003